Expect More Points Than Usual In Ravens-Steelers.
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We kept the fire going last week, going 4-0 on our bets. And on Monday Night Football, we went 2-1, followed by another win on Thursday Night Football, according to my picks on my Twitter/X account @BetWithMatt_. We’re keeping the momentum going, and the NFL action this week looks to be just as exciting.
Ravens vs. Steelers: A Rekindled Rivalry
The Ravens are coming off a thrilling victory over the Cleveland Browns, who were missing Deshaun Watson. Lamar Jackson put up one of his best performances of the season, and it’s clear that he’s getting better by the week. The Ravens also have some crucial players returning this week, including LT Ronnie Stanley, WR Rashod Bateman, and S Marcus Williams, which will help both their offense and defense.
On the other hand, the Steelers struggled last week against the Houston Texans. They struggled to apply enough pressure to C.J. Stroud, who capitalized by throwing for 306 yards and two touchdowns. Steelers supporters are increasingly critical of offensive coordinator Matt Canada.
Given the Ravens-Steelers rivalry’s history of low-scoring games, the sensible option could be the under at 38 points. However, recent games in which Jackson played have exceeded that number. The Ravens may not face as much pressure without Alex Highsmith and with Stanley’s return, allowing them to focus on controlling T.J. Watt. This week, Canada is under pressure to provide a good offensive performance. We’re going against popular opinion.
My pick: Over 38 (-108)
Other NFL Picks
Colts vs. Titans
Derrick Henry has historically dominated the Colts, often rushing for over 100 yards against them. The Colts’ rushing defense ranks 22nd in the league, and with Jonathan Taylor returning from injury, they may try to control the game on the ground. This could force Anthony Richardson to pass, which could be problematic.
My pick: Derrick Henry Over 75.5 rushing yards (-114)
Lions vs. Panthers
The Panthers have struggled offensively, and their defense has been their strong suit. They rank 6th in passing defense but 26th against the run. Most Panther games have averaged around 42 combined points with their opponents. The Lions are likely to run the ball a lot and control the clock, making this a low-scoring affair.
My pick: Under 44.5 (-118)
49ers vs. Cowboys
While many expect the Cowboys to lose, digging into the numbers reveals a different story. The 49ers’ defense excels against the run but struggles against the pass, ranking 17th in passing defense. They’ve heavily relied on Christian McCaffery, who is averaging around 116 yards per game, but the Cowboys will aim to force the game into a quarterback shootout.
My picks: Cowboys +3.5 (-110) and McCaffery under 78.5 rushing yards (-114)
(Do not parlay these!)
As we approach Week 5, let’s continue our winning streak and make the most of these NFL matchups. Stay tuned for more NFL betting insights and strategies as the season unfolds.
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